At 11 p.m. HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lane was located near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 142.3 West. Lane is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to persist through Sunday. Lane is expected to continue moving toward the west Sunday night and Monday, but at a slightly slower forward speed.

Maximum sustained winds are now near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Lane is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional weakening is forecast during the next couple of days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 956 mb (28.23 inches).

National Weather Service Discussion

Lane continues moving toward the west-northwest at about 14 kt, representing a slight increase in forward speed. This system should continue on this track through 24 hours, driven by a large subtropical ridge to its north. As the ridge builds westward, Lane should shift to a more westerly track from 24 through 72 hours. A shift back toward the west-northwest should occur from 96 through 120 hours as Lane approaches the western portion of the ridge. Track guidance remains rather tight, depicting a gradual decrease in forward speed through the forecast period. The first few forecast points were pushed forward slightly to account for the small bump in initial forward speed, but the overall forecast track closely resembles the previous one, neatly following TVCE consensus.

The intensity forecast roughly follows IVCN consensus guidance, depicting a gradual weakening through 120 hours. SSTs will remain in the 27 to 28 degree C range, but with 10 to 15 kt of vertical shear expected through the forecast period, a forecast for gradual weakening seems sound.

Lane is forecast to pass south of the main Hawaiian Islands Wednesday and Thursday, potentially causing local impacts as it tracks west-northwestward. Interests in those islands should watch the progress of Lane closely, since day 4 and 5 forecast track errors can be large.

Public should prepare for Tropical Cyclone Lane

HONOLULU — HI-EMA recommends residents and visitors take the following actions to prepare for any possible hurricane or tropical cyclone:

• Prepare an “emergency kit” of a minimum of 14 days of food, water, and other supplies.
• Talk with family members and develop a clear understanding of what you will do if a hurricane or tropical storm threatens. Prepare an action plan that includes details such as whether your family plans to shelter in place or evacuate.
• Know if your home is in an inundation zone, flood zone, or susceptible to high winds and other hazards. Know if your home is retrofitted with hurricane resistant clips or straps.
• Stay tuned to local media and their websites/applications regarding weather updates.
• Sign up for local notification systems (i.e., HNL.Info).
• Get to know your neighbors and community so you can help each other.
• Walk your property and check for potential flood threats. Clear your gutters and other drainage systems. Remove and secure loose items. Keep your car gas tanks filled.
• Prepare your pets by checking or purchasing a carrier and other preparedness items. A pet carrier is necessary for your pet’s safety if you plan to evacuate to a pet-friendly shelter. Don’t forget 14 days of food and water for your furry family members.
• Set aside an emergency supply of any needed medication and keep a copy of your prescriptions in case you run out of medication after a disaster.
• Secure your important documents in protective containers.
• Visitors should download GoHawaii App and read the Hawaii Tourism Authority’s Travel Safety Brochure at http://www.travelsmarthawaii.com.
• Build an emergency kit – now.

Central Pacific Infrared Images